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One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.132x cash-out ratio against One Piece Starter Pack's 0.891x, across 1,257 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Starter PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictCAUTIONBUY
Pack price$25$100
Calibrated EV$25.64$133.23
Cash-out ratio0.891x1.132x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.026x1.332x
Median pull$22.10$88.50
Hit rate27.2%28.5%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.38x0.53x
Pulls indexed987270

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Starter Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+14.1%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.02x. Wildcard Master Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.13x, up overall (+34.4%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.15x.

One Piece Starter PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Starter Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.132x vs 0.891x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Starter Pack: 27.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 28.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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