One Piece PSA 10 vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, One Piece PSA 10 is currently the better value: a 0.954x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.845x, across 2,470 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | One Piece PSA 10 | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $69 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $77.77 | $14.54 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.954x | 0.845x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.127x | 0.969x |
| Median pull | $59.50 | $12.90 |
| Hit rate | 25.0% | 19.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.61x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 8 | 2,462 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece PSA 10: 154 points from Sep 9 to Sep 21, starting at 1.01x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-5.3%), ranging between 0.95x and 1.78x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 612 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-0.7%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.11x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
One Piece PSA 10 vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: One Piece PSA 10 or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- One Piece PSA 10 currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.954x vs 0.845x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- One Piece PSA 10: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- One Piece PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.61x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: One Piece PSA 10 EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies