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One Piece Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.833x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.818x, across 62 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Platinum PackWildcard Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$500
Calibrated EV$487.56$437.09
Cash-out ratio0.833x0.818x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.975x0.874x
Median pull$438.15$385.50
Hit rate26.2%15.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.31x0.20x
Pulls indexed4220

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Platinum Pack: 770 points from Jul 12 to Oct 7, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+18.0%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.05x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 607 points from Aug 8 to Oct 7, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.82x, down overall (-4.3%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.86x.

One Piece Platinum PackWildcard Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Platinum Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
One Piece Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.833x vs 0.818x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Platinum Pack: 26.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 15.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
One Piece Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.31x vs 0.20x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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