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One Piece Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.842x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.815x, across 476 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Master PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$98.73$96.36
Cash-out ratio0.842x0.815x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.987x0.964x
Median pull$85.00$85.05
Hit rate22.9%22.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.45x0.33x
Pulls indexed340136

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Master Pack: 711 points from Jul 18 to Oct 3, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+33.7%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.25x. Wildcard Master Pack: 713 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

One Piece Master PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
One Piece Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.842x vs 0.815x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Master Pack: 22.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
One Piece Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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