Hockey Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.876x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.773x, across 708 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Ultra Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $228.33 | $51.45 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.773x | 0.876x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.913x | 1.029x |
| Median pull | $209.40 | $43.35 |
| Hit rate | 26.3% | 30.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.65x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 80 | 628 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Ultra Pack: 923 points from Aug 8 to Oct 30, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+15.4%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.15x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 4 to Oct 30, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+12.5%), ranging between 0.73x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Ultra Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.876x vs 0.773x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Ultra Pack: 26.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 30.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.65x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies