Hockey Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.902x cash-out ratio against Hockey Starter Pack's 0.897x, across 3,174 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.11 | $26.07 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.897x | 0.902x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.004x | 1.043x |
| Median pull | $22.30 | $22.80 |
| Hit rate | 32.2% | 28.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.69x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 484 | 2,690 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 5 to Nov 1, starting at 1.04x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-13.6%), ranging between 0.77x and 1.31x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 5 to Nov 1, starting at 0.87x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+3.7%), ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.902x vs 0.897x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Starter Pack: 32.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 28.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies