Hockey Starter Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Hockey Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.888x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.830x, across 631 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Starter Pack | Hockey Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.76 | $245.34 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.888x | 0.830x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.990x | 0.981x |
| Median pull | $22.40 | $211.50 |
| Hit rate | 32.5% | 26.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.66x | 0.63x |
| Pulls indexed | 541 | 90 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 1.12x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-20.9%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.31x. Hockey Ultra Pack: 994 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+23.9%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Starter Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Starter Pack or Hockey Ultra Pack?
- Hockey Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.888x vs 0.830x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Starter Pack: 32.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Ultra Pack: 26.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.66x vs 0.63x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies