Hockey Starter Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Hockey Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.935x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.902x, across 114 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Starter Pack | Hockey Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $27.14 | $266.49 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.935x | 0.902x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.086x | 1.066x |
| Median pull | $22.10 | $227.05 |
| Hit rate | 32.4% | 33.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 1.15x | 0.31x |
| Pulls indexed | 102 | 12 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Starter Pack: 584 points from Jul 17 to Sep 18, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+27.4%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.26x. Hockey Ultra Pack: 426 points from Aug 8 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+34.6%), ranging between 0.65x and 0.99x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Starter Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Starter Pack or Hockey Ultra Pack?
- Hockey Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.935x vs 0.902x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Starter Pack: 32.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Ultra Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Starter Pack has the higher volatility (1.15x vs 0.31x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Starter Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies