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Hockey Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.864x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.845x, across 408 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Pro PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$50$100
Calibrated EV$50.46$99.80
Cash-out ratio0.864x0.845x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.009x0.998x
Median pull$42.90$85.70
Hit rate29.0%24.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.45x0.32x
Pulls indexed241167

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Pro Pack: 780 points from Jul 29 to Oct 10, starting at 0.65x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+33.5%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.00x. Wildcard Master Pack: 804 points from Jul 12 to Oct 10, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+0.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Hockey Pro PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Pro Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Hockey Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.864x vs 0.845x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Pro Pack: 29.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Hockey Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Hockey Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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