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Hockey Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.265x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.905x, across 253 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictEARLY READCAUTION
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$747.88$106.85
Cash-out ratio1.265x0.905x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.496x1.069x
Median pull$424.00$87.15
Hit rate31.0%25.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.66x0.39x
Pulls indexed29224

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Platinum Pack: 513 points from Sep 3 to Oct 18, starting at 0.79x and ending at 1.26x, up overall (+59.9%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.49x. Wildcard Master Pack: 907 points from Jul 12 to Oct 18, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+7.9%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Hockey Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Platinum Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Hockey Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.265x vs 0.905x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Platinum Pack: 31.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 25.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Hockey Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.66x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Hockey Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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