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Hockey Platinum Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Hockey Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.919x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.774x, across 125 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricHockey Platinum PackHockey Ultra Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$500$250
Calibrated EV$542.86$228.58
Cash-out ratio0.919x0.774x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.086x0.914x
Median pull$422.00$211.00
Hit rate33.3%25.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.62x0.63x
Pulls indexed3689

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Platinum Pack: 749 points from Sep 3 to Nov 3, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+16.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.49x. Hockey Ultra Pack: 984 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+15.5%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.15x.

Hockey Platinum PackHockey Ultra Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Hockey Platinum Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Hockey Platinum Pack or Hockey Ultra Pack?
Hockey Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.919x vs 0.774x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Hockey Platinum Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Ultra Pack: 25.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Neither stands out: both sit at about 0.62x stddev/EV, so on this measure they are level.

Full pages: Hockey Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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