Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.845x cash-out ratio against Hockey Master Pack's 0.832x, across 288 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $97.87 | $99.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.832x | 0.845x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.979x | 0.998x |
| Median pull | $83.40 | $85.70 |
| Hit rate | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.35x | 0.32x |
| Pulls indexed | 121 | 167 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 682 points from Aug 6 to Oct 10, starting at 1.04x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-19.8%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.04x. Wildcard Master Pack: 802 points from Jul 12 to Oct 10, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+0.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.845x vs 0.832x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 22.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies