Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Hockey Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.881x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.774x, across 373 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Master Pack | Hockey Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $103.41 | $228.58 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.881x | 0.774x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.034x | 0.914x |
| Median pull | $84.85 | $211.00 |
| Hit rate | 28.2% | 25.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.44x | 0.63x |
| Pulls indexed | 284 | 89 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.94x and ending at 0.88x, down overall (-6.3%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.02x. Hockey Ultra Pack: 985 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+15.5%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Master Pack vs Hockey Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Master Pack or Hockey Ultra Pack?
- Hockey Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.881x vs 0.774x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Master Pack: 28.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Hockey Ultra Pack: 25.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.63x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Master Pack EV & verdict · Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies