Football Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.900x cash-out ratio against Football Ultra Pack's 0.810x, across 100 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Ultra Pack | Sports Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $239.29 | $519.48 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.810x | 0.900x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.957x | 1.039x |
| Median pull | $212.50 | $432.80 |
| Hit rate | 16.3% | 21.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 86 | 14 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Ultra Pack: 670 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-31.1%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.39x. Sports Platinum Pack: 516 points from Aug 8 to Sep 30, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+29.1%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.04x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Ultra Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
- Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.900x vs 0.810x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Ultra Pack: 16.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 21.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies