Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.916x cash-out ratio against Football Starter Pack's 0.906x, across 6,480 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.12 | $26.42 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.906x | 0.916x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.005x | 1.057x |
| Median pull | $22.30 | $23.00 |
| Hit rate | 30.1% | 29.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.52x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 3,305 | 3,175 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.94x and ending at 0.91x, down overall (-3.2%), ranging between 0.86x and 1.04x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.92x, down overall (-1.0%), ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.916x vs 0.906x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 30.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 29.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies