Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.841x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.822x, across 1,444 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.20 | $23.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.841x | 0.822x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.968x | 0.941x |
| Median pull | $22.20 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 27.5% | 23.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.41x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 730 | 714 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 625 points from Jul 28 to Sep 23, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+26.7%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.08x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 636 points from Jul 12 to Sep 23, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+16.3%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.02x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.841x vs 0.822x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 27.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies