Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.874x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.817x, across 1,344 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.96 | $96.47 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.874x | 0.817x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.998x | 0.965x |
| Median pull | $22.10 | $85.40 |
| Hit rate | 27.3% | 23.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,207 | 137 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 708 points from Jul 28 to Oct 3, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+30.6%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Wildcard Master Pack: 719 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.82x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.874x vs 0.817x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies