Football Starter Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.868x cash-out ratio against Football Starter Pack's 0.865x, across 1,067 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Starter Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.71 | $101.05 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.865x | 0.868x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.988x | 1.010x |
| Median pull | $22.10 | $87.65 |
| Hit rate | 27.5% | 22.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 929 | 138 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Starter Pack: 660 points from Jul 28 to Sep 30, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+29.3%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Sports Master Pack: 670 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+17.6%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Starter Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Starter Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.868x vs 0.865x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Starter Pack: 27.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 22.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies