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Football Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.192x EV ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.978x, across 123 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Pro PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictBUYSKIP
Pack price$50$100
Calibrated EV$59.61$97.82
EV ratio1.192x0.978x
Cash-out EV ratio1.114x0.828x
Median pull$44.05$85.40
Hit rate34.9%23.5%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.55x0.28x
Pulls indexed10617

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 287 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 1.47x and ending at 1.19x, down overall (-19.1%), ranging between 0.88x and 1.74x. Wildcard Master Pack: 288 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 1.08x and ending at 0.98x, down overall (-9.4%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.14x.

Football Pro PackWildcard Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Football Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.192x vs 0.978x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Pro Pack: 34.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.55x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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