Football Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.904x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.853x, across 627 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $52.28 | $251.64 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.904x | 0.853x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.046x | 1.007x |
| Median pull | $43.40 | $219.80 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 37.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 579 | 48 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 656 points from Jul 17 to Sep 28, starting at 1.49x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-39.2%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.49x. Sports Ultra Pack: 657 points from Jul 12 to Sep 28, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+28.7%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Football Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.904x vs 0.853x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 37.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies