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Football Pro Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.107x EV ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.903x, across 44 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Pro PackSports Master Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$50$100
Calibrated EV$45.17$110.70
EV ratio0.903x1.107x
Cash-out EV ratio0.853x0.937x
Median pull$42.60$89.95
Hit rate18.4%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.31x0.38x
Pulls indexed386

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 160 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 1.47x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-38.7%), ranging between 0.88x and 1.74x. Sports Master Pack: 160 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.96x and ending at 1.11x, up overall (+14.7%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.84x.

Football Pro PackSports Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Pro Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Sports Master Pack?
Sports Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.107x vs 0.903x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Pro Pack: 18.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.31x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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