Football Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.127x cash-out ratio against Football Platinum Pack's 0.798x, across 23 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Platinum Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $471.65 | $332.91 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.798x | 1.127x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.943x | 1.332x |
| Median pull | $425.30 | $207.00 |
| Hit rate | 37.5% | 26.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.22x | 0.50x |
| Pulls indexed | 8 | 15 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Platinum Pack: 345 points from Aug 6 to Sep 11, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+27.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.83x. Sports Ultra Pack: 478 points from Jul 12 to Sep 11, starting at 0.66x and ending at 1.13x, up overall (+70.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Platinum Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.127x vs 0.798x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Platinum Pack: 37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 26.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.22x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies