Football Platinum Pack vs Football Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.122x cash-out ratio against Football Ultra Pack's 0.832x, across 260 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Platinum Pack | Football Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $651.56 | $245.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.122x | 0.832x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.303x | 0.983x |
| Median pull | $427.40 | $214.50 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.54x | 0.66x |
| Pulls indexed | 81 | 179 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Platinum Pack: 846 points from Aug 6 to Oct 24, starting at 0.64x and ending at 1.12x, up overall (+75.3%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.14x. Football Ultra Pack: 978 points from Jul 17 to Oct 24, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-29.2%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.39x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Platinum Pack vs Football Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Platinum Pack or Football Ultra Pack?
- Football Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.122x vs 0.832x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Platinum Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Ultra Pack: 25.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.66x vs 0.54x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies