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Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 1.067x EV ratio against Football Master Pack's 1.040x, across 194 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$25
Calibrated EV$104.00$26.68
EV ratio1.040x1.067x
Cash-out EV ratio0.880x0.997x
Median pull$84.15$22.40
Hit rate35.0%27.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.37x0.38x
Pulls indexed40154

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 254 points from Jul 3 to Aug 12, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.04x, up overall (+23.5%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.20x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 254 points from Jul 3 to Aug 12, starting at 0.90x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+18.2%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.17x.

Football Master PackWildcard Starter Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.067x vs 1.040x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 35.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 27.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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