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Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.074x EV ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.978x, across 65 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$107.37$97.82
EV ratio1.074x0.978x
Cash-out EV ratio0.908x0.828x
Median pull$83.75$85.40
Hit rate33.3%23.5%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.28x
Pulls indexed4817

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 288 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+27.6%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.20x. Wildcard Master Pack: 288 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 1.08x and ending at 0.98x, down overall (-9.4%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.14x.

Football Master PackWildcard Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Football Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.074x vs 0.978x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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