Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.847x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.817x, across 477 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.62 | $96.47 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.847x | 0.817x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.996x | 0.965x |
| Median pull | $83.95 | $85.40 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 23.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 340 | 137 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 719 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+33.6%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Wildcard Master Pack: 719 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.82x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Football Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.847x vs 0.817x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies