Football Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.877x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.828x, across 327 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $103.27 | $244.06 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.877x | 0.828x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.033x | 0.976x |
| Median pull | $84.05 | $219.50 |
| Hit rate | 29.9% | 36.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 278 | 49 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 663 points from Jul 12 to Sep 29, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+38.5%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Sports Ultra Pack: 663 points from Jul 12 to Sep 29, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+24.9%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Football Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.877x vs 0.828x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 29.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies