Football Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.868x cash-out ratio against Football Master Pack's 0.866x, across 427 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $101.89 | $101.05 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.866x | 0.868x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.019x | 1.010x |
| Median pull | $84.30 | $87.65 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 22.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.47x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 289 | 138 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 671 points from Jul 12 to Sep 30, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+36.8%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Sports Master Pack: 670 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+17.6%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.868x vs 0.866x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 22.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies