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Football Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.107x EV ratio against Football Master Pack's 1.080x, across 30 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackSports Master Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$107.99$110.70
EV ratio1.080x1.107x
Cash-out EV ratio0.914x0.937x
Median pull$85.00$89.95
Hit rate37.5%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.38x
Pulls indexed246

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 161 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.08x, up overall (+28.3%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.20x. Sports Master Pack: 160 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.96x and ending at 1.11x, up overall (+14.7%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.84x.

Football Master PackSports Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
Sports Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.107x vs 1.080x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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