Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.850x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.822x, across 812 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Basic Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.83 | $23.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.850x | 0.822x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.989x | 0.941x |
| Median pull | $12.60 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 17.3% | 23.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 98 | 714 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Basic Pack: 411 points from Aug 15 to Sep 23, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+7.9%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.92x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 636 points from Jul 12 to Sep 23, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+16.3%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.02x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Basic Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Football Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.850x vs 0.822x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Basic Pack: 17.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies