Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.912x cash-out ratio against Football Basic Pack's 0.867x, across 3,916 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Basic Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.93 | $26.31 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.867x | 0.912x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.995x | 1.052x |
| Median pull | $13.00 | $23.00 |
| Hit rate | 23.6% | 29.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.43x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 602 | 3,314 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Basic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 15 to Nov 7, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+14.1%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.94x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 15 to Nov 7, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.91x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Basic Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.912x vs 0.867x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Basic Pack: 23.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 29.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.43x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies