Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.974x cash-out ratio against Football Basic Pack's 0.829x, across 641 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Basic Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.36 | $115.02 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.829x | 0.974x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.957x | 1.150x |
| Median pull | $12.80 | $87.41 |
| Hit rate | 18.7% | 25.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.38x | 0.45x |
| Pulls indexed | 390 | 251 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Basic Pack: 753 points from Aug 15 to Oct 24, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+4.8%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.93x. Wildcard Master Pack: 978 points from Jul 12 to Oct 24, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+16.1%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.97x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Basic Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.974x vs 0.829x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Basic Pack: 18.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 25.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies