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Comic Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.727x cash-out ratio against Comic Diamond Pack's 0.659x, across 22 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricComic Diamond PackWildcard Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$1000$500
Calibrated EV$779.54$392.96
Cash-out ratio0.659x0.727x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.780x0.786x
Median pull$770.00$396.00
Hit rate20.0%11.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.18x0.15x
Pulls indexed517

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Comic Diamond Pack: 627 points from Aug 3 to Oct 2, starting at 0.99x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-33.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.99x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 537 points from Aug 8 to Oct 2, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.73x, down overall (-14.0%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.84x.

Comic Diamond PackWildcard Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Comic Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Comic Diamond Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
Wildcard Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.727x vs 0.659x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Comic Diamond Pack: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 11.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Comic Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.18x vs 0.15x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Comic Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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