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Comic Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.836x cash-out ratio against Comic Diamond Pack's 0.659x, across 150 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricComic Diamond PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$1000$100
Calibrated EV$779.54$98.66
Cash-out ratio0.659x0.836x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.780x0.987x
Median pull$770.00$85.40
Hit rate20.0%24.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.18x0.33x
Pulls indexed5145

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Comic Diamond Pack: 678 points from Aug 3 to Oct 6, starting at 0.99x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-33.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.99x. Wildcard Master Pack: 751 points from Jul 12 to Oct 6, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Comic Diamond PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Comic Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Comic Diamond Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.836x vs 0.659x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Comic Diamond Pack: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.33x vs 0.18x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Comic Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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