Bronze Age Pack vs Modern Age Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Modern Age Pack is currently the better value: a 1.050x cash-out ratio against Bronze Age Pack's 0.685x, across 35 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Bronze Age Pack | Modern Age Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | EARLY READ |
| Pack price | $200 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $161.88 | $124.08 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.685x | 1.050x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.809x | 1.241x |
| Median pull | $140.00 | $92.35 |
| Hit rate | 22.2% | 46.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.51x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 26 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Bronze Age Pack: 407 points from Aug 2 to Sep 10, starting at 0.54x and ending at 0.69x, up overall (+26.6%), ranging between 0.54x and 0.87x. Modern Age Pack: 437 points from Jul 31 to Sep 10, starting at 1.84x and ending at 1.05x, down overall (-43.1%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.84x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Bronze Age Pack vs Modern Age Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Bronze Age Pack or Modern Age Pack?
- Modern Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.050x vs 0.685x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Bronze Age Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Modern Age Pack: 46.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Modern Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Bronze Age Pack EV & verdict · Modern Age Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies