Basketball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.797x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.687x, across 124 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $235.05 | $392.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.797x | 0.687x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.940x | 0.786x |
| Median pull | $212.00 | $408.80 |
| Hit rate | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.14x |
| Pulls indexed | 111 | 13 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Ultra Pack: 651 points from Jul 28 to Sep 29, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+13.5%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.09x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 500 points from Aug 8 to Sep 29, starting at 0.80x and ending at 0.69x, down overall (-13.9%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.80x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- Basketball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.797x vs 0.687x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Ultra Pack: 18.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 15.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.14x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies