Basketball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.908x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.840x, across 665 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $247.73 | $106.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.840x | 0.908x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.991x | 1.068x |
| Median pull | $216.30 | $89.30 |
| Hit rate | 26.7% | 31.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.34x | 0.50x |
| Pulls indexed | 285 | 380 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 6 to Nov 2, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+17.8%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.09x. Wildcard Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 6 to Nov 2, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+23.7%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.908x vs 0.840x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Ultra Pack: 26.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 31.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies