Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.817x cash-out ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.816x, across 619 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Ultra Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $241.03 | $95.17 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.817x | 0.816x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.964x | 0.952x |
| Median pull | $215.20 | $85.90 |
| Hit rate | 26.4% | 21.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.34x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 296 | 323 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.65x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+24.9%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.09x. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.82x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.74x and 1.11x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Ultra Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Basketball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.817x vs 0.816x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Ultra Pack: 26.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies