Basketball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.970x cash-out ratio against Basketball Pro Pack's 0.887x, across 691 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Pro Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $51.01 | $286.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.887x | 0.970x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.020x | 1.146x |
| Median pull | $43.90 | $215.25 |
| Hit rate | 27.4% | 23.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.58x | 0.63x |
| Pulls indexed | 661 | 30 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Pro Pack: 752 points from Jul 28 to Oct 6, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+5.8%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.01x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 762 points from Jul 17 to Oct 6, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+34.0%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.25x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Pro Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.970x vs 0.887x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Pro Pack: 27.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 23.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.63x vs 0.58x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies