Basketball Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.876x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.853x, across 472 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Pro Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.08 | $251.64 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.876x | 0.853x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.002x | 1.007x |
| Median pull | $43.60 | $219.80 |
| Hit rate | 26.4% | 37.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.65x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 424 | 48 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Pro Pack: 640 points from Jul 28 to Sep 27, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+3.9%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.01x. Sports Ultra Pack: 651 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+28.7%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Pro Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.876x vs 0.853x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Pro Pack: 26.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 37.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.65x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies