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Basketball Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.843x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.834x, across 107 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$484.31$98.55
Cash-out ratio0.843x0.834x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.969x0.985x
Median pull$441.00$85.45
Hit rate32.0%21.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.28x0.35x
Pulls indexed2582

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Platinum Pack: 578 points from Jul 29 to Sep 19, starting at 0.77x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+9.8%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.98x. Wildcard Master Pack: 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Basketball Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Platinum Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Basketball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.843x vs 0.834x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Platinum Pack: 32.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 21.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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