Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.941x cash-out ratio against Sports Ultra Pack's 0.871x, across 58 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Platinum Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $538.90 | $257.38 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.941x | 0.871x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.078x | 1.030x |
| Median pull | $461.50 | $218.75 |
| Hit rate | 36.4% | 36.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.28x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 22 | 36 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Platinum Pack: 571 points from Jul 29 to Sep 19, starting at 0.77x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+22.2%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.98x. Sports Ultra Pack: 589 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+31.6%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Platinum Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.941x vs 0.871x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Platinum Pack: 36.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies