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Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.880x cash-out ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.837x, across 188 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Platinum PackSports Master Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$511.23$97.50
Cash-out ratio0.880x0.837x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.022x0.975x
Median pull$439.90$87.80
Hit rate24.4%21.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.35x0.38x
Pulls indexed41147

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Platinum Pack: 666 points from Jul 29 to Sep 30, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+15.9%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.97x. Sports Master Pack: 683 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+13.4%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.58x.

Basketball Platinum PackSports Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Platinum Pack or Sports Master Pack?
Basketball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.880x vs 0.837x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Platinum Pack: 24.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 21.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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