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Basketball Mythic Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.941x cash-out ratio against Basketball Mythic Pack's 0.745x, across 31 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Mythic PackBasketball Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$5000$500
Calibrated EV$4404.09$538.90
Cash-out ratio0.745x0.941x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.881x1.078x
Median pull$4106.30$461.50
Hit rate22.2%36.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.73x0.28x
Pulls indexed922

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Mythic Pack: 526 points from Aug 2 to Sep 18, starting at 0.62x and ending at 0.74x, up overall (+20.9%), ranging between 0.62x and 2.12x. Basketball Platinum Pack: 567 points from Jul 29 to Sep 18, starting at 0.77x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+22.2%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.98x.

Basketball Mythic PackBasketball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Mythic Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Mythic Pack or Basketball Platinum Pack?
Basketball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.941x vs 0.745x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Mythic Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Platinum Pack: 36.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.73x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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