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Basketball Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.983x EV ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.922x, across 108 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Master PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$25
Calibrated EV$92.19$24.57
EV ratio0.922x0.983x
Cash-out EV ratio0.780x0.926x
Median pull$89.50$22.30
Hit rate20.0%22.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.28x0.36x
Pulls indexed1593

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 185 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 1.89x and ending at 0.92x, down overall (-51.1%), ranging between 0.83x and 1.89x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 185 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 0.90x and ending at 0.98x, up overall (+8.9%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.17x.

Basketball Master PackWildcard Starter Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (0.983x vs 0.922x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Master Pack: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 22.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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