Basketball Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.899x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.834x, across 274 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Master Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $105.61 | $98.55 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.899x | 0.834x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.056x | 0.985x |
| Median pull | $87.10 | $85.45 |
| Hit rate | 26.0% | 21.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.35x |
| Pulls indexed | 192 | 82 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 594 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 1.45x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-37.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.45x. Wildcard Master Pack: 594 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Basketball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.899x vs 0.834x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Master Pack: 26.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 21.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies