Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.912x cash-out ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.892x, across 234 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Master Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $104.70 | $269.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.892x | 0.912x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.047x | 1.078x |
| Median pull | $86.95 | $219.80 |
| Hit rate | 25.8% | 40.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 194 | 40 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 602 points from Jul 12 to Sep 20, starting at 1.45x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-38.4%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.45x. Sports Ultra Pack: 602 points from Jul 12 to Sep 20, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+37.8%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.912x vs 0.892x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Master Pack: 25.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 40.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies