Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.383x EV ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.937x, across 18 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Master Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | EARLY READ |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $93.72 | $345.69 |
| EV ratio | 0.937x | 1.383x |
| Cash-out EV ratio | 0.793x | 1.170x |
| Median pull | $91.10 | $207.00 |
| Hit rate | 18.2% | 28.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.30x | 0.55x |
| Pulls indexed | 11 | 7 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 172 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 1.89x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-50.3%), ranging between 0.83x and 1.89x. Sports Ultra Pack: 172 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.95x and ending at 1.38x, up overall (+45.0%), ranging between 0.78x and 2.00x.
Basketball Master PackSports Ultra Pack
Ratios computed against each pack's current price.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.383x vs 0.937x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Master Pack: 18.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 28.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.55x vs 0.30x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies