Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.937x cash-out ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.864x, across 1,263 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Master Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $101.08 | $109.31 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.864x | 0.937x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.011x | 1.093x |
| Median pull | $87.00 | $86.30 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 23.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.47x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 915 | 348 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+11.5%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.00x. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 1.10x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-15.2%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.10x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.937x vs 0.864x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Master Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 23.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.47x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies