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Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.009x EV ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.937x, across 18 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Master PackSports Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$93.72$100.93
EV ratio0.937x1.009x
Cash-out EV ratio0.793x0.854x
Median pull$91.10$88.30
Hit rate18.2%28.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.30x0.40x
Pulls indexed117

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 169 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 1.89x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-50.3%), ranging between 0.83x and 1.89x. Sports Master Pack: 168 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.96x and ending at 1.01x, up overall (+4.6%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.84x.

Basketball Master PackSports Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Sports Master Pack?
Sports Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.009x vs 0.937x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Master Pack: 18.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 28.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.30x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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