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Basketball Legend Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.820x cash-out ratio against Basketball Legend Pack's 0.649x, across 66 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Legend PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$1918.68$466.01
Cash-out ratio0.649x0.820x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.767x0.932x
Median pull$2000.00$434.00
Hit rate15.4%34.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.42x0.35x
Pulls indexed1353

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Legend Pack: 957 points from Aug 16 to Nov 5, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.65x, down overall (-5.0%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x. Sports Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+15.8%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.23x.

Basketball Legend PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Legend Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Legend Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.820x vs 0.649x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Legend Pack: 15.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 34.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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