Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.807x cash-out ratio against Basketball Legend Pack's 0.665x, across 315 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Legend Pack | Basketball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $1965.28 | $238.00 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.665x | 0.807x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.786x | 0.952x |
| Median pull | $2008.55 | $214.90 |
| Hit rate | 16.7% | 26.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.34x |
| Pulls indexed | 12 | 303 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Legend Pack: 934 points from Aug 16 to Nov 4, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-2.6%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x. Basketball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+13.5%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.09x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Legend Pack or Basketball Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.807x vs 0.665x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Legend Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Ultra Pack: 26.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies