Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Legend Pack is currently the better value: a 1.030x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.735x, across 97 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Legend Pack | Basketball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $3042.48 | $216.55 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.030x | 0.735x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.217x | 0.866x |
| Median pull | $2128.90 | $205.00 |
| Hit rate | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 5 | 92 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Legend Pack: 361 points from Aug 16 to Sep 19, starting at 0.68x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+50.8%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.21x. Basketball Ultra Pack: 584 points from Jul 28 to Sep 19, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.73x, up overall (+4.7%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Legend Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Legend Pack or Basketball Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Legend Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.030x vs 0.735x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Legend Pack: 20.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Ultra Pack: 16.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Legend Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies