Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.030x cash-out ratio against Basketball Diamond Pack's 0.808x, across 27 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $954.91 | $304.27 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.808x | 1.030x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.955x | 1.217x |
| Median pull | $900.00 | $221.60 |
| Hit rate | 11.1% | 27.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.24x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 18 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 413 points from Aug 11 to Sep 20, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+20.2%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.97x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 596 points from Jul 17 to Sep 20, starting at 0.72x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+42.3%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.25x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.030x vs 0.808x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 11.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 27.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.24x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies