Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 0.693x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.687x, across 24 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $1000 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $819.22 | $392.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.693x | 0.687x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.819x | 0.786x |
| Median pull | $893.00 | $408.80 |
| Hit rate | 9.1% | 15.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.24x | 0.14x |
| Pulls indexed | 11 | 13 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 481 points from Aug 11 to Sep 29, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.69x, up overall (+3.1%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.97x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 502 points from Aug 8 to Sep 29, starting at 0.80x and ending at 0.69x, down overall (-13.9%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.80x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- Basketball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.693x vs 0.687x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 9.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 15.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.24x vs 0.14x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies