Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 1.041x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.938x, across 353 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $1230.37 | $110.40 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.041x | 0.938x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.230x | 1.104x |
| Median pull | $893.00 | $88.80 |
| Hit rate | 33.3% | 29.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.57x | 0.51x |
| Pulls indexed | 39 | 314 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 869 points from Aug 11 to Oct 29, starting at 0.67x and ending at 1.04x, up overall (+54.9%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.55x. Wildcard Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 1 to Oct 29, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+28.0%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Basketball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.041x vs 0.938x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 29.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.51x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies