Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 1.130x cash-out ratio against Basketball Mythic Pack's 0.717x, across 66 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Basketball Mythic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $1000 | $5000 |
| Calibrated EV | $1335.33 | $4239.67 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.130x | 0.717x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.335x | 0.848x |
| Median pull | $901.85 | $4176.40 |
| Hit rate | 39.6% | 22.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.62x | 0.60x |
| Pulls indexed | 48 | 18 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 959 points from Aug 11 to Nov 3, starting at 0.67x and ending at 1.13x, up overall (+68.2%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.34x. Basketball Mythic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 2.12x and ending at 0.72x, down overall (-66.1%), ranging between 0.68x and 2.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Basketball Mythic Pack?
- Basketball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.130x vs 0.717x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 39.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Mythic Pack: 22.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.60x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies