Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 0.808x cash-out ratio against Basketball Mythic Pack's 0.745x, across 18 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Diamond Pack | Basketball Mythic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $1000 | $5000 |
| Calibrated EV | $954.91 | $4404.09 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.808x | 0.745x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.955x | 0.881x |
| Median pull | $900.00 | $4106.30 |
| Hit rate | 11.1% | 22.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.24x | 0.73x |
| Pulls indexed | 9 | 9 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Diamond Pack: 401 points from Aug 11 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+20.2%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.97x. Basketball Mythic Pack: 526 points from Aug 2 to Sep 18, starting at 0.62x and ending at 0.74x, up overall (+20.9%), ranging between 0.62x and 2.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Diamond Pack vs Basketball Mythic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Diamond Pack or Basketball Mythic Pack?
- Basketball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.808x vs 0.745x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Diamond Pack: 11.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Mythic Pack: 22.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.73x vs 0.24x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies