Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.884x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.798x, across 167 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $235.83 | $487.40 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.798x | 0.884x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.943x | 0.975x |
| Median pull | $214.00 | $415.00 |
| Hit rate | 24.6% | 21.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.38x | 0.26x |
| Pulls indexed | 126 | 41 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 1 to Oct 29, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+1.7%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 886 points from Aug 8 to Oct 29, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.8%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.01x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
- Wildcard Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.884x vs 0.798x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 24.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 21.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies